Categories: AllBasketball

Arizona State vs UCLA 02/21/2022 NCAA Basketball Betting Odds and Pick

The Arizona State Sun Devils will look for their fourth straight win on Monday when they take on the UCLA Bruins at the Pauley Pavilion in Pac-12 action.

Arizona State enters this game with a record of 10-15 SU overall and 6-9 SU in the Pac-12. In their last game, the Sun Devils defeated Oregon State 73-53 on Saturday night. Meanwhile, UCLA is 19-5 SU on the season and 11-4 SU in the conference, three games behind leaders Arizona. The Bruins defeated Washington 76-50 in their last game.

These teams played last February 5th with the Sun Devils pulling off the 87-84 triple-overtime upset over the Bruins as 10.5 point underdogs.

Arizona State Sun Devils

Arizona State had no trouble dispatching Oregon State this past Saturday. The Sun Devils took a 63-39 lead with over nine minutes left in the game and won easily 73-53. The Arizona State defense held down Oregon State to 38.9% field goal shooting and just 10.5% from behind the arc. Jay Heath led the Sun Devils with 13 points, 5 rebounds, 2 assists, and 2 steals.

The Sun Devils are scoring an average of 65.0 points per game while grabbing 36.0 rebounds per contest. They also average 13.1 assists per game and allow their opponents to score an average of 68.8 points per game.

DJ Horne leads the team in scoring at 12.5 points per game while Marreon Jackson is the team’s leading passer at 3.9 assists per game while also scoring 10 points per game. Kimani Lawrence is shooting 53.1% from the field while averaging 10.7 points per game.

  • Moneyline Odds: Arizona State +750, UCLA -1200
  • Odds from BetOnline as of 02/21/2022

UCLA Bruins

The 13th ranked Bruins won their second consecutive game when they defeated the Washington Huskies 76-50 last Saturday. UCLA took a 37-25 halftime lead and never looked back as they shot 47.6% from the field and 45.5% from deep while holding the Huskies to 34.6% FG shooting and 17.6% from behind the arc. Jaylen Clark led UCLA with 25 points, 5 rebounds, 1 assist, and 1 steal.

UCLA is 53rd in the nation in scoring at 77.0 points per game scored. They are 89th in rebounds at 37.8 boards grabbed per contest and are also averaging 4.4 assists per game. The Bruins are one of the better defensive teams in college basketball at 64.9 points per game allowed this season.

Johnny Juzang leads the team in scoring at 17.9 points per game this season. Tyger Campbell is the assists leader at 4.4 per game while also scoring 11.7 points per contest. Meanwhile, Jaime Jaquez Jr. is contributing 12.0 points per game on a team-best 46.1% FG shooting.

Who Wins?

Arizona State is 4-2 SU in their last six games played. The Sun Devils are 1-5 SU in their last six games played on the road. UCLA is 14-4 SU in their last 18 games played. The Bruins are 12-1 SU in 13 home games played this season.

Head to head, the Bruins are 3-1 SU in their last four games against the Sun Devils. UCLA is also 8-1 SU in their last nine home games against the Arizona State Sun Devils

The Sun Devils have been playing great basketball as of late and most recently defeated Oregon State 73-53. However, they are a team that is 6-3 ATS on the road but just 3-6 SU in those games. Most recently, they were blown out by Washington via a 23-point margin.

The Bruins have lost just once at home this season with 12 wins. With their 58th ranked defense, UCLA should be able to offset the possible absences of two key players while also limiting further an Arizona State offense that is ranked 300+ in scoring, FG%, and 3P%. While I’m not confident if they can cover this large spread, I have no doubt that UCLA wins at home and gets its revenge.

Prediction: UCLA

Other Bets to Make

Arizona State is 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games played. The Sun Devils are 6-3 ATS in nine road games played this season, 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games against the Pac-12 Conference, 7-1 ATS in their last eight games after a straight up win, 5-1 ATS in their last six games against an opponent with a winning percentage better than .600, 4-1 ATS in their last five ATS wins, and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against an opponent with a winning straight up record.

UCLA is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played. The Bruins are 5-0 ATS in their last five games played at home, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against the Pac-12 Conference, 5-2 ATS in their last seven games after a straight up win, 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games against an opponent with a road winning percentage of less than .400, and 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games against an opponent with a losing road record.

Head to head, UCLA is 2-1-1 ATS in their last four meetings against Arizona State. The home team is also 16-6-2 ATS in the last 24 meetings between these two teams.

  • Spread Odds: Arizona State +13.5 (-112), UCLA -13.5 (-108)
  • Odds from BetOnline as of 02/21/2022

I think the Bruins are going to win this game but I also think that the Sun Devils are going to make them earn it. Arizona State enters this game with a lot of confidence and has the momentum right now. They know they can beat the Bruins because they did so two weeks ago.

The Arizona State defense has held its last three opponents to under 60 points and shut down UCLA to just 62 in their previous meeting. The Bruins should win at home but take the plus points here and the Sun Devils to cover the spread.

Prediction: Arizona State +13.5

The total has gone under in 11 out of the last 16 games played by Arizona State. The under is 7-1 in their last eight Monday games, 8-3 in their last 11 games after an ATS win, 5-2 in their last seven road games against an opponent with a winning home record, 5-2 in their last seven road games overall, and 9-4 in their last 13 games against an opponent with a winning percentage better than .600.

The total has gone under in UCLA’s last four games after an ATS win. The under is also 4-0 in their last four games after a straight up victory, 4-0 in their last four games after a straight up win of more than 20 points, and 4-1 in their last five home games against an opponent with a losing road record.

  • Over/Under Odds: Over 131.5 (-110), Under 131.5 (-110)
  • Odds from BetOnline as of 02/21/2022

The Sun Devils are conceding an average of 68.8 points per game this season but in their last three games played, they have limited their opponents to 57 or fewer points and they have won all three games. UCLA has also held their opponents to fewer than 60 points in four out of their last five wins, so if they win this game, this one should be a low-scoring affair.

Arizona State has shown that it can limit UCLA’s offense after holding them to just 62 points in their most recent meeting. If Juzang is a no-go and/or Riley won’t play for the Bruins, scoring will be an issue for UCLA in this game.

Prediction: Under 131.5

Blake Daniels

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