Blake Daniels, November 10, 2022

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The Dallas Cowboys travel to Lambeau Field to take on the struggling Green Bay Packers.

Dallas is 6-2 SU and is two games behind the 8-0 Philadelphia Eagles in the NFC East team standings. The Cowboys survived life without Dak Prescott and now with Dak back, Dallas is looking to close the season strong.

Meanwhile, the Green Bay Packers are surprisingly bad this season. Green Bay opened with a 3-1 mark but has since lost five straight games and has played terribly during that stretch. At 3-6 SU, they are tied with the Bears for the second-best record in the NFC North, behind the 7-1 Minnesota Vikings.

Green Bay defeated Dallas 34-24 in their most recent head-to-head meeting played in Dallas way back in October 2019.

Dallas Cowboys

Experts thought that the Cowboys were going to have a tough season after losing to the Bucs in Week 1. Dak Prescott got hurt but Cooper Rush and the defense held the court until Dak returned. Now that Dak’s back, the Cowboys are 6-2 SU and have one of the top defensive units in the league.

Dallas is 23rd in scoring at 22 points per game this season but with Prescott back, that stat may be deceiving. Meanwhile, the Cowboys are 7th in total defense and 3rd in scoring defense at 16.6 points per game allowed. They are also 11th in rushing offense at 131.5 yards per game.

Green Bay Packers

The Packers’ season has been surprisingly disappointing. Rodgers was coming off back-to-back MVP seasons where Green Bay was always a contender. This year has been different and they head to this game with a five-game losing streak and with a need to turn their season around immediately if they still want a chance at making the postseason.

The Packers rank just 16th in total offense. They are also 15th in passing offense at 224.7 yards per game and 14th in rushing at 120.7 yards per contest. Green Bay is 27th overall in scoring at only 17.1 points per game this season. They are giving up 20.9 points per game, the 15th best in the NFL.

Cowboys vs Packers SU Prediction

The Cowboys are 1-8 SU in their last 9 games played against Green Bay. Dallas is also 1-4 SU in their last 5 games played at Lambeau Field.

Dallas Cowboys SU trends:

• The Cowboys are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games played.
• The Cowboys are 2-1 SU in 3 road games played this season.
• The Cowboys are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against the NFC.
• The Cowboys are 2-8 SU in their last 10 November games.

Green Bay Packers SU trends:

• The Packers are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games played.
• The Packers are 16-4 SU in their last 20 games played at home.
• The Packers are 4-2 SU in their last 6 November games.
• The Packers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 Week 10 games.

Before going to their bye week, the Cowboys defeated Justin Fields and the Chicago Bears handily 49-29 for their second consecutive home win after losing to the Philadelphia Eagles in primetime. Dak Prescott has been the key to their recent success after Cooper Rush filled in nicely for him when Prescott got hurt earlier this season.

Prescott completed 21-27 passes for 250 yards with 2 TDs and 1 INT. Tony Pollard was however the star of the game with 131 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns on only 13 carries. Meanwhile, CeeDee Lamb and Dalton Schultz combined for over 150 receiving yards as the Dallas Cowboys offense looks clicking just in time for the final push for the playoffs.

Meanwhile, Micah Parsons continues to impress in his second season. Parsons has looked better since he was moved to a rushing position. He has 36 tackles and 8 sacks on the season for the Cowboys.

The Packers look terrible right now with five straight losses. Things could have not gone worse than last week when they lost to the lowly Lions. Aaron Rodgers looked rattled right from the start of the game and he threw two crucial red-zone INTs in the loss.

Rodgers completed just 23 of 43 passes for 291 yards. Allen Lazard is coming off a game where he caught 87 yards with one TD grab. Unfortunately for Green Bay, rookie receiver Romeo Doubs suffered an injury and was carted off the field.

With Green Bay’s struggles on offense, the best way for them to win this game would be to pressure Prescott and force him to make mistakes. The Cowboys’ offensive line will have to step up to help Dak and Tony Pollard must continue to play well to let Prescott do his job.

Meanwhile, Rodgers has struggled this season without his favorite receiver. Now he is down one receiver with Doub out and there is no help coming. Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon must step up and they have to force turnovers. The Packers have not won nor covered in nearly two months. I don’t see them ending the skid against Prescott and the Cowboys. Dallas is playing better on offense right now. That should be the key to victory as the Packers won’t be able to keep up.

Prediction: Dallas Cowboys

Cowboys vs Packers ATS Prediction

The Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played against the Packers. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four games between these two teams The road team is also 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings between these two teams.

Dallas Cowboys ATS trends:

• The Cowboys are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games overall.
• The Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games
• The Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• The Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• The Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
• The Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
• The Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win.
• The Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight-up win.
• The Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• The Cowboys are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 vs. NFC.
• The Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
• The Cowboys are 35-17-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• The Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November.

Green Bay Packers ATS trends:

• The Packers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• The Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• The Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 10.
• The Packers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
• The Packers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games on grass.
• The Packers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• The Packers are 11-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• The Packers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss.
• The Packers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight-up loss.
• The Packers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.
• The Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.

The Packers have dominated this series but the way these two teams are playing this season, this one should end differently.

Dallas has one of the best defenses in the league. They are playing against a Green Bay team that could not move the ball consistently against a modest Detroit Lions defense last weekend.

The Packers’ defense hasn’t been too sharp well. With Prescott back, the Cowboys should be able to move the ball well. Pollard and Elliott have good chances to play well here as Green Bay doesn’t defend well against the rush.

Give me the Cowboys to win by a touchdown.

Prediction: Dallas Cowboys -5

Cowboys vs Packers Over/Under Prediction

The total has gone over in each of the last three games played between these two teams. However, the under is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Green Bay.

Dallas Cowboys over/under trends:

• The under is 6-2-1 in the Cowboys’ last 9 games overall.
• The under is 6-2-1 in the Cowboys’ last 9 road games.
• The under is 5-0 in the Cowboys’ last 5 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
• The under is 7-0 in the Cowboys’ last 7 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
• The under is 5-0 in the Cowboys’ last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
• The under is 11-3-1 in the Cowboys’ last 15 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• The under is 10-3-1 in the Cowboys’ last 14 games following an ATS win.
• The under is 10-3-1 in the Cowboys’ last 14 games following a straight-up win.
• The under is 11-4-1 in the Cowboys’ last 16 versus the NFC.
• in their previous game.
• The under is 5-2 in the Cowboys’ last 7 against a team with a losing record.
• The under is 7-3 in the Cowboys’ last 10 games in November.
• The over is 8-3 in the Cowboys’ last 11 games in Week 10.
• The over is 5-2 in the Cowboys’ last 7 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing.

Green Bay Packers over/under trends:

• The under is 7-3 in the Packers’ last 10 games overall.
• The under is 4-0 in the Packers’ last 4 games in Week 10.
• The under is 11-5 in the Packers’ last 16 games on grass.
• The under is 6-1 in the Packers’ last 7 games following a straight-up loss.
• The under is 5-1 in the Packers’ last 6 versus a team with a winning record.
• The under is 9-3 in the Packers’ last 12 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• The over is 14-5 in the Packers’ last 19 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
• The under is 5-2 in the Packers’ last 7 games following an ATS loss.
• The under is 5-2 in the Packers’ last 7 against the NFC.
• The over is 7-3 in the Packers’ last 10 home games versus a team with a winning road record.
• The over is 5-1 in the Packers’ last 6 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

We know of the Packers’ offensive struggles this season. They will be up against a solid defensive team in the Cowboys. Green Bay’s rushing attack looks good but with Dallas focusing on stopping the run, there won’t be any easy scores for Dillon and Jones.

Meanwhile, the Cowboys rushing attack could have a good time against a Green Bay rush defense that hasn’t looked itself this season. With Dallas probably content with rushing the ball, that will consume plenty of time and limit the scoring chances here.

Give me these two teams to hit the under.

Prediction: Under 43