Categories: AllBaseball

San Francisco Giants vs Los Angeles Dodgers 09/05/2022 MLB Odds and Prediction

The San Francisco Giants take on the Los Angeles Dodgers on Monday night at Dodger Stadium.

San Francisco is 64-68 on the season and 27-36 away from home this year. The Giants are 3rd in the NL West team standings and are 27.5 games behind the Dodgers in the division standings. They are also 8 games off the wild card pace in the NL. The Giants have won three in a row but are just 3-7 in their last 10 games played. San Francisco has a batting average of .240 and an ERA of 4.55 during that stretch where they have been outscored by 8 runs.

Los Angeles is 92-41 on the season and 47-17 when playing at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers are 19 games up in the NL West team standings and have the best record in baseball, 6.5 games better than the second-place Houston Astros. The Dodgers have won their last two games played and are 6-10 in their last 10 games overall. During that span, Los Angeles has a 2.44 batting average and an ERA of 2.93 while outscoring their opponents by a total of 19 runs.

These two teams have played 13 times this season and the Dodgers lead the series 10-3.

San Francisco Giants

The Giants are looking to extend a three-game winning streak against the Dodgers on Monday. San Francisco is 27-36 on the road. They are slugging at .389 and have an OBP of .318 and a team batting average of .234. They have 560 total RBIs this season and have hit 217 doubles and 145 home runs this year.

San Francisco’s pitching staff ranks 18th with 578 runs allowed this season. The Giants’ pitching staff has also conceded 112 home runs while walking 360 batters. They have a FIP of 3.52 and a K: BB ratio of 3.05. They have a staff ERA of 3.91, 17th overall, and a WHIP of 1.28

Thairo Estrada is the Giants with a batting average of 263. He has 19 doubles, two triples, and 11 home runs on the season. Joc Pederson is 11-23 with three home runs and 13 RBIs over his last 10 games played.

Logan Webb will open on top of the mound for the Giants. Webb is 11-8 with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.18 this season. Webb has pitched in a total of 165.0 innings this season and has conceded 148 hits with 137 strikeouts, 46 walks, and 10 home runs.

Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers are looking to win three in a row against the Giants on Monday. Los Angeles is 47-17 at Dodgers stadium this season. They have hit a total of 174 home runs this season and have 674 total RBIs this year. Los Angeles has an OBP of .337 and a team batting average of .261. The Dodgers also have a slugging percentage of .449 and they are the highest scoring team in baseball at 5.36 runs per contest.

Los Angeles’ pitching staff has surrendered 373 earned runs this season or an ERA of 2.85, the best in baseball this season. They have a K/BB ratio of 3.49 and have allowed 118 home runs while allowing their opponents to score an average of 3.20 runs per 9 innings, 1st in MLB this season.

Freddie Freeman is hitting at a .319 clip this season, 5th best on the team. Freeman has two triples 16 home runs, 61 walks, and 82 RBIs. Meanwhile, Justin Turner is 15-31 with one home run and 7 RBIs over his last 10 games played.

The opening for the Dodgers on Monday will be Andrew Heaney. The left-hander has a record of 2-1 with an ERA of 2.12 and a WHIP of 1.05. Heaney has pitched in a total of 46.2 innings this season and has allowed 37 hits with 70 strikeouts, 12 walks, and 10 home runs allowed.

Giants vs Dodgers Betting Prediction

The Giants are 0-8 in their last eight games played against the Dodgers. San Francisco is also 0-7 in their last seven meetings in Los Angeles.

San Francisco Giants betting trends:

  • Giants are 2-7 in their last 9 games played overall.
  • Giants are 8-21 in their last 29 road games.
  • Giants are 9-3 in their last 12 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.
  • Giants are 9-3 in their last 12 road games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.
  • Giants are 13-6 in their last 19 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
  • Giants are 3-7 in their last 10 road games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.
  • Giants are 8-21 in their last 29 versus a team with a winning record.
  • Giants are 2-6 in their last 8 Monday games.
  • Giants are 6-18 in their last 24 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
  • Giants are 2-7 in their last 9 games on grass.
  • Giants are 6-21 in their last 27 against the National League West Division.
  • Giants are 1-7 in their last 8 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Los Angeles Dodgers betting trends:

  • Dodgers are 46-13 in their last 59 overall.
  • Dodgers are 65-19 in their last 84 home games.
  • Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.
  • Dodgers are 46-13 in their last 59 games on grass.
  • Dodgers are 49-14 in their last 63 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Dodgers are 49-14 in their last 63 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
  • Dodgers are 53-16 in their last 69 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
  • Dodgers are 43-13 in their last 56 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
  • Dodgers are 40-13 in their last 53 against a team with a losing record.
  • Dodgers are 52-17 in their last 69 vs. National League West.
  • Dodgers are 45-15 in their last 60 Game 1 of a series.
  • Dodgers are 39-13 in their last 52 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Dodgers are 57-20 in their last 77 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Dodgers are 37-14 in their last 51 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
  • Dodgers are 67-26 in their last 93 home games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.
  • Moneyline Odds: Giants +189, Dodgers -207
  • Odds from BetOnline as of 09/05/2022

Logan Webb is 3-3 with an ERA of 3.12 in 12 road games pitched this season. Meanwhile, Andrew Heaney has looked great in five home starts with a record of 2-0 and an ERA of 1.05. San Francisco ranks 23rd in the majors with a bullpen ERA of 4.23 while the Dodgers rank third overall in reliever ERA at 3.07.

Offensively, the Dodgers rank 1st in runs scored, 2nd in team batting average, 1st in OBP, and 1st in slugging. After their three-game losing streak, the Dodgers have flexed their might and beat the Padres in consecutive games with an aggregate score of 21-5.

The Giants have scored 18 runs in their last two games played, both wins against the Phillies. But Los Angeles is 1st in ERA, 1st in WHIP, and 1st in BAA this season. It won’t be easy scoring against the Dodgers who have allowed a total of 11 runs in their last five wins.

The Dodgers are 47-17 at home this season while the Giants are 27-36 away from home. With the edge in starter, bullpen, and the more prolific offense, I am going with the home team here.

Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers

Giants vs Dodgers Over/Under Predictions

The over is 3-1-1 in the last five head-to-head meetings between these two teams. The total has gone over in three out of the last five games played between these two teams.

San Francisco Giants over/under trends:

  • Over is 4-1-1 in the Giants’ last 6 overall.
  • Over is 4-1-1 in the Giants’ last 6 on grass.
  • Over is 4-1 in the Giants’ last five games played against the National League
  • Over is 5-1 in the Giants’ last six September games.
  • Over is 4-1-1 in the Giants’ last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 4-1 in the Giants’ last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
  • Over is 4-1 in the Giants’ last 5 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in the Giants’ last 5 during game 1 of a series.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in the Giants’ last 5 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

Los Angeles Dodgers over/under trends:

  • Over is 4-0 in the Dodgers’ last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Over is 4-0 in the Dodgers’ last 4 home games.
  • Over is 4-0 in the Dodgers’ last 4 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
  • Over is 4-1-1 in the Dodgers’ last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
  • Over is 7-2 in the Dodgers’ last 9 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
  • Over is 3-1-2 in the Dodgers’ last 6 vs. National League West.
  • Over is 6-2 in the Dodgers’ last 8 home games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in the Dodgers’ last 5 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
  • Over is 5-1 in the Dodgers’ last six September games.
  • Under is 5-1-1 in the Dodgers’ last 7 Monday games.
  • Under is 4-1 in the Dodgers’ last 5 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.
  • Under is 10-3-2 in the Dodgers’ last 15 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Under is 18-6-2 in the Dodgers’ last 26 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.
  • Over/Under Odds: Over 8.5 (-110), Under 8.5 (-110)
  • Odds from BetOnline as of 09/05/2022

These teams have scored a combined 8.0 runs per game in their last 10 head to head meetings and 8.33 runs per game in their most recent three encounters. We’ve seen many close games between these two teams this season but right now, both offenses are hitting their stride. The Giants have scored a total of 23 runs in their last three games played while the Dodgers have put up 21 in their previous two assignments.

San Francisco ranks 2nd with a .282 team BAPIP ( Batting Average on Balls in Play ) while the Dodgers are 4th at .305. This means that both teams are pretty good at finding holes in the opponent’s defense. I like these teams to hit the over in this game.

Prediction: Over 8.5

Blake Daniels

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