Oklahoma vs TCU 10/20/18 NCAA Odds, Preview and Prediction

The Oklahoma Sooners and the Texas Christian University Horned Frogs square off in a Big 12 matchup at the Amon Carter Stadium inside the campus of TCU in Fort Worth, Texas.

Both teams are coming off three point losses with Oklahoma losing 45-48 against Texas in the Red River Shootout last October 6th while Texas Christian is reeling off a 14-17 home loss to Texas Tech just last Thursday.

Sooners Can’t Wait To Rebound

The Oklahoma Sooners can’t wait to rebound after suffering their first loss of the season. Oklahoma won each of its first five games by double digits and looked like a legit playoff contender through week 5. While they are still considered contenders now, the loss to Texas left a sour taste in their mouth.

Oklahoma has the 5th best offense in the nation, averaging 48 points per game. Quarterback Kyler Murray is the key man in the offense as the junior play caller has thrown a total of 1,764 yards with 21 touchdowns and just three interceptions on the season. Defensively though, the Sooners have yielded an average of 27.3 points per game, which is 76th in the NCAA. They also allow the 24th most passing yards per game in all of college football at 264.3.

 

Texas Christian Has Hit The Skids

After a promising start to their 2018 campaign, it looks like Texas Christian has hit the skids. TCU’s loss to Texas Tech last week was its third defeat in its last four games and they hope to avoid falling below .500 for the first time this season.

Sophomore quarterback Shawn Robinson isn’t having the kind of season we expected. Robinson has tossed for 1,313 total yards this season with only nine touchdowns and eight interceptions while completing just 63.1% of his passes. Overall, TCU is averaging 28.7 points per game which is currently tied for the 70th in the College Football scoring list. While their offense has struggled, TCU’s defense has kept it afloat by allowing just 20.2 points per game (ranked 29th) and only 182 passing yards per game ( ranked 20th).

Who Wins?

The Oklahoma Sooners are 22-3 SU in their last 25 games and 12-1 SU in their last 13 games played on the road. On the other hand, the TCU Horned Frogs are 14-6 SU in their last 20 games played and are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games at home. Against each other, Oklahoma has beaten Texas Christian seven times SU in their last 8 meetings.

Coming off a bye week, Oklahoma will want to erase the stigma of their defeat to Texas. Given Texas Christian’s offensive struggles this year, the Horned Frogs do not have the firepower to match the Sooners.

Both teams are coming off three point losses but Oklahoma looks to rebound here because they have the better offense and they have more to play for.We’re picking Oklahoma to beat Texas Christian on 10/20/18. The moneyline for the Sooners is currently set at -320 and if you think that’s a little too high to risk, then you might want to consider the other bets in this game.

 

Other Bets To Make

Oklahoma is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games. Texas Christian is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played at home. However, the Sooners are 7-3 both SU and ATS in their last 10 games when coming off a bye week with an average winning margin of 19 points. The Horned Frogs meanwhile are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against the Big 12.

 

The Sooners have won the last four meetings between these teams by an average margin of 12.25 points per game. With Texas Christian’s offense struggling since conference play began in Week 4, I’m picking the Sooners to cover the spread here. Prediction: Oklahoma -8

 

The total has gove over in six out of the last seven games played by the Oklahoma Sooners and also over in four out of their last five games on the road. As for the Texas Christian University Horned Frogs, the total has gone under in four out of their last five games played.

 

Head to head, the total has gone under in seven out of their last nine meetings with an average score of 54.78. While TCU’s offense is having issues, their defense is just working fine, holding four of their six opponents to 17 points or less. No, they won’t shut down the Sooners but they are going to get some stops and keep the score under the total. Prediction: Under 60.5

Among our three predictions, the Under 60.5 is the best priced bet at -105. However, I really have a good feeling that the Sooners are aching to bounce back this week and that they are going to vent out their frustrations on the Horned Frogs. Personally, I’m going with the spread odds here at -8 (-116) for Oklahoma. They’re probably not going to put up 40 points but should win this game by a fair margin that covers the spread.