Blake Daniels, November 3, 2022

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The Green Bay Packers head to Ford Field on Sunday to face the Detroit Lions, looking to end a four-game losing streak.

Green Bay opened the season with a loss to the Minnesota Vikings. They then won three in a row, beating the Chicago Bears, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and New England Patriots. However, the Packers have lost four straight games to the Jets, Giants, Commanders, and Bills.

Meanwhile, the Lions dropped their season opener against the Philadelphia Eagles. Detroit then bounced back to beat the Commanders in Week 2. They have not won since then, losing to the Vikings, Seahawks, Patriots, Cowboys, and Dolphins the last time out. Last week, they scored 27 first-half points but were unable to put up anything in the second half of the game.

Green Bay Packers

The Packers fell behind early 24-7 against the Bills last week. Green Bay tried its best to rally back into the game but ended up losing 27-17. Aaron Rodger tossed two TD passes with 1 interception while Aaron Jones had a big game with 20 carries for 143 rushing yards.

Rodgers only threw for 203 yards against the Bills but will need to do more if they want to win this game. Fortunately for the reigning MVP, the Lions have the worst defense in the NFL, allowing the most yards per play this season and the most points scored per game.

The Packers are 22nd in passing at 217.4 yards per game. They are also 15th in rushing at 122.5 yards per contest. Green Bay is only 26th in scoring at 18.1 points per game.

Detroit Lions

The Lions suffered a tough home loss the last time out. Detroit opened like a house on fire, scoring 27 first-half points. However, they did not score after the break and Miami rallied to beat Detroit 31-27.

Jared Goff has thrown for 1,904 passing yards with 12 touchdown passes. Jamaal Williams is the team’s leading rusher with 464 rushing yards on 102 carries with 8 rushing TDs. Meanwhile, Josh Reynolds has caught 26 passes for 357 yards with two TD catches.

The Lions are ranked 7th in passing offense at 258.3 yards per game. They are also 10th in rushing offense at 136.6 yards per contest. Detroit tied for 9th in scoring at 24.7 points per game this season. On defense, however, they are at the bottom with 32.1 points per game allowed.

Packers vs Lions SU Prediction

The Packers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games played against the Lions. Green Bay is just 2-3 SU in their last five road games in Detroit.

Green Bay Packers SU trends:

• The Packers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games played.
• The Packers are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games played on the road.
• The Packers are 16-4 SU in their last 20 games played against the NFC North division.

Detroit Lions SU trends:

• The Lions are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games played.
• The Lions are 1-3 SU in their last 4 games played at home.
• The Lions are 1-12-1 SU in their last 14 games played in November.
• The Lions are 3-6 SU in their last Week 9 games.

The Packers fell to the Buffalo Bills 27-17 on the road last week. That extended Green Bay’s losing streak to four games. The Packers have not won in over a month but will have the opportunity to get back on track when they place the Detroit Lions.

Aaron Rodgers is coming off a game where he completed only 19 of 30 passes for 203 yards with two touchdowns and one interception. Rookie Romeo Doubs caught four of those passes for 62 yards and a TD grab. Meanwhile, Green Bay’s ground attack had a breakthrough last week. AJ Dillon and Aaron Jones combined for over 200 yards on 30 carries.

The Lions led 27-17 at the half last week but were unable to hold on to the lead against the Miami Dolphins. After having some early success on offense, the Lions were unable to get going in the second half and were blanked on offense during the final two-quarters of play.

Jared Goff looked good early on but was stifled along with the rest of the offense in the second half of the game. He finished with 27 completions on 37 passes with 321 passing yards and one TD pass. Meanwhile, Jamal Williams provided the ground support with two rushing TDs.

That wasn’t the first time we saw flashes of brilliance from the Lions. However, this is a team that has been unable to play well on a consistent basis. Goff and the offense have played big in several games only for their defense to sabotage them. If the Lions want to win, they must be able to do the job on both ends of the field and they need to do so for 60 full minutes.

Green Bay doesn’t have the same defensive issues as Detroit. But The Packers are a team that has not scored more than 30 points in any of its games this season. If the Packers want to win this game, they need to click with both their passing and rushing offense. Aaron Rodgers’ chemistry with his pass catchers should be there this weekend. Give me the Packers to end their losing skid.

Prediction: Green Bay Packers

Packers vs Lions ATS Prediction

The Packers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games played against the Lions. The Packers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games played in Green Bay. The home team is also 5-0 ATS in the last five games between these two teams.

Green Bay Packers ATS trends:

• The Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• The Packers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games
• The Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
• The Packers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
• The Packers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games following a straight-up loss.
• The Packers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS win.
• The Packers are 39-16-1 ATS in their last 56 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
• The Packers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• The Packers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 versus NFC.
• The Packers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 9.
• The Packers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• The Packers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on field turf.

Detroit Lions ATS trends:

• The Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
• The Lions are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.
• The Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• The Lions are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC North.
• The Lions are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
• The Lions are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss.
• The Lions are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 against the NFC.
• The Lions are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• The Lions are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• The Lions are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• The Lions are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• The Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight-up loss.
• The Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on field turf.

It’s hard to trust both teams right now, given how badly they have been playing. The Packers are just 3-5 ATS this season while the Lions are 3-4 ATS on the year. However, there is no doubt that the Packers are the much better team here.

Green Bay lost to a very good Buffalo team the last time out. In that game, the Packers gained 398 yards with 21 first-down conversions and 33:48 of the time of possession. Unfortunately for them, the Bills were just better than them on both ends of the field. Detroit however isn’t Buffalo, so you have to like the Packers’ chance here.

The Lions’ defense conceded 476 yards of offense and 7.4 yards per play to the Miami Dolphins in their last game. This Green Bay team might not have the same amount of offensive firepower as the Dolphins but they have more than enough to take advantage of Detroit’s defense and cover the betting spread on Sunday.

Prediction: Packers -3.5

Packers vs Lions Over/Under Prediction

The total has gone over in 9 out of the last 13 games played between these two teams. The over is 5-2 in their last 7 games played in Detroit.

Green Bay Packers over/under trends:

• The over is 6-0 in the Packers’ last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
• The over is 5-1 in the Packers’ last 6 games following an ATS win.
• The under is 5-1 in the Packers’ last 6 games following a straight-up loss.
• The under is 16-5 in the Packers’ last 21 road games versus a team with a losing home record.
• The under is 9-3 in the Packers’ last 12 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• The over is 10-4 in the Packers’ last 14 games against the NFC North Division.
• The over is 12-5 in the Packers’ last 17 games after allowing more than 150 rushing yards in their previous game.

Detroit Lions over/under trends:

• The over is 6-1 in the Lions’ last 7 against the NFC.
• The over is 11-2 in the Lions’ last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
• Over is 5-1 in the Lions’ last 6 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• The over is 8-2 in the Lions’ last 10 games in Week 9.
• The under is 4-1 in the Lions’ last 5 games in November.
• Over is 7-2 in the Lions’ last 9 games on field turf.
• Under is 10-3 in theLions’ last 13 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Over is 12-4 in the Lions’ last 16 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Over is 6-2 in the Lions’ last 8 games following a straight-up loss.
• Over is 20-7 in the Lions’ last 27 home games.
• Over is 5-2 in the Lions’ last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• Under is 5-2 in the Lions’ last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
• Under is 7-3 in the Lions’ last 10 games following an ATS loss.
• Over is 9-4 in the Lions’ last 13 vs. NFC North.

The Lions have the worst defense in the league so far this season. They will be going up against the back-to-back MVP winner Aaron Rodgers on Sunday. Although Rodgers and the Packers’ offense doesn’t look as good as in the previous season, they still have more than enough on offense to score points on the poor Detroit defense.

These teams have combined to score an average of 50.3 points per game in their last 10 head-to-head meetings and 58.0 points in their most recent three encounters. This should be another high-scoring showdown between these two teams.

Prediction: Over 50