Blake Daniels, August 30, 2022

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The Colorado and Atlanta Braves open a three-game series on Tuesday night.

Colorado avoided a sweep by winning Game 4 of their four-game series against the New York Mets 1-0 on Sunday. The Rockies are at the bottom of the NL West division standings with a 55-74 record. Colorado is 4-6 in their last 10 games played.

Meanwhile, Atlanta is 79-50 on the season and they are three games behind the New York Mets in the NL East division. The Braves beat the Cardinals in Game 1 of their previous series but lost the last two games to drop the set. Atlanta is 7-3 in their last 10 games played.

The Rockies are 19-42 on the road this season while the Braves are 42-24 at home. These teams have played four times this season and Atlanta leads the series 4-0.

Colorado Rockies

The Rockies entered Monday’s games 34.5 games behind the Dodgers in the division standings and 15 games behind the Padres for the final Wild Card spot in the National League.

C.J. Cron has 24 home runs and 84 RBIs with an OPS of .817 but has struggled in his last 30 games with only 2 home runs and 14 RBIs while posting a slash line of .202/.252/.311. Colorado is 12th in baseball with an OPS of .724 while scoring an average of 4.46 runs per game.

Jose Urena will make his 15th appearance and 11th start of the season on Tuesday. Urena is 2-5 with an ERA of 5.98 and a WHIP of 1.67 with 31 walks and 31 strikeouts in 58.2 innings pitched. Urena took the loss in his last start as he allowed nine runs on nine hits in 1.1 innings pitched against the Rangers. He is however just 1-2 with an ERA of 10.29 in his last three starts. He is 2-2 with an ERA of 3.82 in seven career starts in Truist Park.

Atlanta Braves

The Braves are still chasing the Mets in the NL East division. Atlanta is currently three games behind New York in the division standings and they are in the top spot in the NL wild-card race, a huge 10.5 games ahead of the Milwaukee Brewers

Austin Riley has an OPS of .908 with 31 home runs and 83 RBIs this season. Riley has posted a slash line of .208/.358/.283 with one home run nine RBIs, and seven runs scored during that period.

Max Fried will take the hill for the Braves on Tuesday. Fried is 12-4 with an ERA of 2.52 and a WHIP of 1.024 in 153.1 innings pitched. Fried picked up a win in his last start, allowing one run on three hits in eight innings pitched as the Braves beat the Pirates last Tuesday. Fried is 26-10 with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.153 in 58 appearances, including 52 starts at Truist Park.

Rockies vs Braves Prediction

The Rockies are 0-4 in their last four meetings against the Braves. Colorado is however, 14-3 in their last 17 meetings in Atlanta.

Colorado Rockies Betting Trends:

• Rockies are 1-4 in their last 5 games played overall.
• Rockies are 15-41 in their last 56 road games.
• Rockies are 34-78 in their last 112 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
• Rockies are 31-75 in their last 106 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
• Rockies are 3-8 in their last 11 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
• Rockies are 7-22 in their last 29 versus National League East.
• Rockies are 1-4 in their last 5 games on grass.
• Rockies are 3-13 in their last 16 games following an off day.
• Rockies are 6-26 in their last 32 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.
• Rockies are 6-26 in their last 32 road games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.
• Rockies are 2-10 in their last 12 games following a win.
• Rockies are 1-6 in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record.
• Rockies are 1-8 in their last 9 games versus a left-handed starter.
• Rockies are 1-8 in their last 9 games versus a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
• Rockies are 0-5 in their last 5 road games against a left-handed starter.

Atlanta Braves Betting Trends:

• Braves are 56-23 in their last 79 games played overall.
• Braves are 36-16 in their last 52 home games.
• Braves are 56-23 in their last 79 games on grass.
• Braves are 47-20 in their last 67 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
• Braves are 37-16 in their last 53 games versus a right-handed starter.
• Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 home games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.
• Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 games when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 games when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
• Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
• Braves are 41-10 in their last 51 games versus a team with a losing record.
• Braves are 12-3 in their last 15 games against the National League West.
• Braves are 21-6 in their last 27 home games versus a team with a losing record.
• Braves are 17-5 in their last 22 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.
• Braves are 20-6 in their last 26 Tuesday games.
• Braves are 20-6 in their last 26 Game 1s of a series.
• Braves are 39-12 in their last 51 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Braves are 20-7 in their last 27 home games against a right-handed starter.
• Braves are 42-15 in their last 57 games following a loss.
• Braves are 24-9 in their last 33 games following an off day.
• Braves are 16-6 in their last 22 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
• Braves are 55-21 in their last 76 games versus a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
• Braves are 10-4 in their last 14 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Urena is 1-4 with an ERA of 9.19 in 32.1 innings pitched. Opponents have been lighting him up this month to the tune of .309/.385/.564 over his last five starts. Meanwhile, Max Fried is 3-2 with an ERA of 2.54 in 46 innings pitched.

These two offenses are been on opposite poles as of late with Colorado averaging 3.58 runs per game in their last dozen games and the Braves putting up 6.46 runs per game in their last 13 games played. Atlanta has won the last four head-to-head meetings between these two teams. Colorado’s 19-42 road record is the worst in baseball right now.

Don’t be tantalized by the huge plus money on the Rockies. Atlanta is the much better team between these two and they are also the ones playing better right now.

Prediction: Atlanta Braves

Rockies vs Braves Over/Under Predictions

The under is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams. The total, however, has gone over in three out of their last five games played in Atlanta, with one push.

Colorado Rockies over/under trends:

• Under is 4-1 in the Rockies’ last five games against the National League East.
• Under is 4-2 in the Rockies’ last six games against the National League.
• Under is 8-2 in the Rockies’ last 10 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
• Under is 3-1-1 in the Rockies’ last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Under is 9-1-1 in the Rockies’ last 11 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Over is 6-0 in the Rockies’ last 6 games following an off day.
• Over is 4-1 in the Rockies’ last 5 Tuesday games.
• Over is 4-1 in the Rockies’ last 5 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
• Over is 5-2-1 in the Rockies’ last 8 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Atlanta Braves over/under trends:

• Over is 4-0 in the Braves’ last 4 overall.
• Over is 3-0-1 in the Braves’ last 4 games following an off day.
• Over is 4-0 in the Braves’ last 4 on grass.
• Over is 3-0-1 in the Braves’ last 4 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
• Over is 5-1-2 in the Braves’ last 8 Game 1s of a series.
• Over is 9-3-1 in the Braves’ last 13 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Over is 3-1-1 in the Braves’ last 5 home games against a right-handed starter.
• Over is 9-3-2 in the Braves’ last 14 games versus a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
• Over is 3-1-1 in the Braves’ last 5 home games.
• Over is 8-3-1 in the Braves’ last 12 games following a loss.
• Over is 16-6-4 in the Braves’ last 26 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
• Over is 10-4-4 in the Braves’ last 18 games versus a right-handed starter.
• Over is 5-2 in the Braves’ last 7 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.
• Under is 17-7 in the Braves’ last 24 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.
• Under is 5-2-2 in the Braves’ last 9 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Under is 8-2 in the Braves’ last 10 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
• Under is 4-1-2 in the Braves’ last 7 versus a team with a losing record.
• Under is 6-1 in the Braves’ last 7 home games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.
• Under is 6-0 in the Braves’ last 6 against National League West.
• Under is 4-0 in the Braves’ last 4 home games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.

These two teams have combined to score an average of 10.2 runs per game in their last 10 head-to-head meetings and 9.0 runs per game in the last three games played between these two teams.

The Rockies are 12th in the league in scoring at 4.46 runs per game while the Braves are 3rd in the majors with 4.97 runs per game average. Colorado’s games have an average total of 9.93 runs per game this season while Atlanta’s total is at 8.87 runs per game this year.

Given Urena’s struggles this season and Atlanta’s penchant for high-scoring games, this one should end up as a high-scoring contest.

Prediction: Over 8.5