The Los Angeles Rams hope to continue their dominance over the Seattle Seahawks when the two teams meet on Tuesday night in Los Angeles.
L.A. is 4-1 SU and ATS in their last five games against the Seahawks. The Rams are 9-4 SU and 6-7 ATS on the season. They are just one-half game behind the Cardinals in the divisional standings and are looking to join the Cowboys, Bucs, and Cardinals in a log jam at second place in the NFC.
Seattle meanwhile is 5-8 SU and 7-6 ATS on the season. The Seahawks are currently at the bottom of the NFC West, behind the Cardinals, Rams, and 49ers. Seattle has won its last two games played including a 33-13 road win over the Houston Texans last week.
The Rams opened as 6.5 point favorites before the number was whittled down to 4.5 after the Rams’ COVID-19 list was revealed. The line moved up and is now at an even higher -7 for Los Angeles with the Seahawks also missing personnel for this game.
Russell Wilson completed 17 of 28 passes for 260 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions as Seattle blew out Houston 33-13 last week. Rashad Penny had a huge night with 137 rushing yards on 16 carries with two touchdowns while Tyler Lockett caught 5 passes for 142 yards and one TD grab.
Seattle ranks 22nd in passing at 205.8 passing yards per game. They are 22nd in rushing at 104.4 yards per contest. The Seahawks are 20th in scoring at 20.9 points per game this season but they have the league’s 4th best scoring defense at 20.2 points per game allowed.
Matthew Stafford threw for 287 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions last Monday but it was Aaron Donald’s three sacks that set the tone for the Rams’ 30-23 win over the Arizona Cardinals. Sony Michel rushed for 79 yards while Cooper Kupp caught 13 passes for 123 yards with one TD grab and Odell Beckham Jr. had 77 receiving yards with one TD catch.
The Rams are the 4th best passing team in the NFL at 287.3 passing yards per game but are just 25th in rushing at 97.2 yards per contest. Los Angeles is also 4th in scoring at 28.2 points per game and they have the 20th ranked defense at 22.5 points per game allowed.
Seattle is 4-8 SU in their last 12 games played. The Seahawks are 3-4 SU in seven home games played this season and 1-5 SU in their last six games against the NFC. Los Angeles is 9-4 SU in their last 13 games played. The Rams are 4-2 SU in their last six games played at home.
Head to head, the Rams are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played against the Seahawks. Los Angeles is also 6-1 SU in their last seven games played against the Seahawks.
Seattle is 2-0 SU and ATS in its last two games played while scoring an average of 31.5 points per game in those two games. Prior to that, they went 0-3 SU and ATS while scoring an average of 9.3 points per game. It remains to be seen if their recent strong play will carry over against a Rams team who limited Wilson to 152 yards in a 26-17 home loss last October.
Los Angeles is coming off a statement win over the then NFC leaders Arizona Cardinals. The Rams beat the Cardinals 30-23 as three-point underdogs on the road with Matthew Stafford throwing for 287 passing yards with three scores and no interceptions. He will however be without OBJ who hit the COVID-19 list along with cornerback Jalen Ramsey.
As long as the Rams will have Stafford, Cooper Kupp, and Aaron Donald, this team is too talented for the Seahawks.
Prediction: Los Angeles Rams
The Seahawks are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games played. Seattle is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after a straight-up win of more than 14 points, 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games against the NFC, 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game, 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games after a straight-up win, 0-3-1 ATS in their last four Week 15 games, and 0-4 ATS in their last four road games against an opponent with a winning home record.
The Rams are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games played. Los Angeles is 2-7 ATS in their last nine games against an opponent with a losing record, 1-4 ATS in their last five games after a straight-up win, 1-4 ATS in their last five-week 15 games, 1-5 ATS in their last six games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game, 1-5 ATS in their last six games as betting favorite, and 0-7 ATS in their last seven games after a straight-up win of more than 14 points.
Head to head, the Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings against the Seahawks, Los Angles is also 7-2 ATS in their last nine meetings in Los Angeles.
Los Angeles is at a disadvantage here without OBJ, Ramsey, Von Miller, Darrell Henderson Jr., and Robert Woods. However, the Seahawks will be without Lockett which isn’t ideal.
Seattle has been playing well in its last two games but hasn’t been consistent enough to sustain that stretch for a longer period as they have not won more than two games this season. However, with the Rams hurting more than them, they could make this a closer game than the first time out.
I expect the Rams to win but by a closer score, perhaps by a field goal. For as long as the spread is more than three points, I will have to go with the Seahawks. Russell Wilson is a crafty veteran who will find ways to keep his team in the game.
Prediction: Seahawks +7
The total has gone under in 13 out of the last 16 games of the Seahawks against the NFC. The under is 4-0 in their last four games as road underdogs, 6-1 in their last seven games as underdogs, 6-1 in their last seven road games, 5-1 in their last six games against an opponent with a winning record, 4-1 in their last five games after an ATS win, 11-4 in their last 15 games on field turf, 5-2-1 in their last eight December games, and 17-5 in their last 22 games played overall.
The total has gone under in the Rams’ last five games against an opponent with a losing road record, 9-1 in their last 10 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game, 6-1 in their last seven games after allowing less than 150 passing yards in their previous game, 4-1 in their last five games after a straight-up win of more than 14 points, 4-1 in their last five December games, 8-2-1 in their last 11 games against an opponent with a losing record, and 11-3 in their last 14 home games.
Head to head, the total has gone under in four out of the last five meetings between these two teams. The under is also 4-1 in their last five meetings in Los Angeles.
If both teams were healthy and complete, there’s no doubt I would have gone with the OVER. However, given the names that both teams are missing on offense, especially the Rams, this should have a lower total than the 43 they combined for in their first meeting of the season.
Seattle’s offense has looked good the last two games but so has their defense. The Los Angeles defense also showed out during their mini-streak, giving up a total of 30 points.
Prediction: Under 45.5
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