Immediately as the 2019 NFL Draft was over, Las Vegas and other NFL betting sites were already out with a set of goodies in the form of prop bets. Despite us being a good while away from training camp, let alone the regular season, gamblers are already placing wagers on NFL action and rookie action.
For the 2019 NFL rookie class specifically, BetOnline has released a new set of odds from their original rookie ones, mainly prop bets, to place a dollar on.
One of the most popular bets is the OVER/UNDER prop on rookie quarterbacks to start in Week 1 action, which is placed a 1.5. It’s popularity is due to eleven quarterbacks being selected in the 2019 NFL draft, and three of those eleven were placed in the first round — Kyler Murray, Daniel Jones, and Dwayne Haskins.
Despite the fact that a 38-year-old Eli Manning is only getting older, that still didn’t hesitate to shock the living hell out of everybody when the New York Giants took Daniel Jones with the No. 6 pick in the NFL Draft. General Manager Dave Gettleman would take a lot of heat, and is still taking criticism for his decision to take Jones, especially considering he could have grabbed Jones with the No. 17 pick that they had — only time will tell with a quarterback pick.
The odds currently have Jones to see action this season, setting his OVER/UNDER at 4.5 season starts. Gettleman is on the record saying they wouldn’t be rushing Jones onto the field, definitely not any time soon. After all, they want him to learn from Eli Manning. And with Eli being Eli, and winning two Super Bowls for the New York Giants franchise, you have to take the under on this bet. I don’t think Jones sees any action this season unless it’s an absolute disaster.
The opposite of a shock was Kyler Murray going to the Arizona Cardinals — we already knew that Arizona would select Murray with the first overall pick. And here’s the great thing for the Cardinals: Murray looks like a natural fit in new head coach Kliff Kingsbury’s offense, and all of this also means another thing: The end of the Josh Rosen era in Phoenix.
Speaking of Rosen, he’s also included in the rookie prop bets despite him being a first-year player in the league. After being selected in last year’s draft by the Arizona Cardinals with the No. 10 overall pick, he was traded to the Miami Dolphins in this year’s draft. After a rookie campaign that just didn’t live up to expectations, to say the least, the odds-makers have him at a +200 underdog to make more starts than Kyler Murray and his -300 favorite odds.
The NFL: The action never stops.
I would certainly take the OVER on this bet. Clelin Ferrell has been an absolute force ever since he became a starter for Clemson University. In the odds, his OVER/UNDER for ‘sacks in the 2019 regular season’ is set at 5.5. Ferrell broke that number in all three starts that he was starter for the Tigers. Just check out these dominant numbers: In his sophomore year, he would tally 6.0 sacks, and then in his junior year, he would have massive improvement at 9.5 sacks. In his very next season, his senior year before the NFL Draft, he would crack over the 10 threshold with a tally of 11.5 total sacks. In three years, he would combine for nearly 30 sacks, and fall just three short with 27.0 sacks. Why on earth wouldn’t you take the OVER on this bet with those numbers?
PREDICTION: OVER 5.5 (-115)
I’d take the UNDER on this bet. General manager Dave Gettleman already said that he’s in no rush to play Daniel Jones, and I expect him to sit behind Eli Manning for as long as possible to learn from him. I wouldn’t be surprised if we were looking at a Brett Favre-Aaron Rodgers type of situation where Jones sits behind Manning for quite some time. As a result, it’s a pretty much guarantee that UNDER will win this, at least in my eyes. If Daniel Jones does start this upcoming season, it’ll be because of an absolute dismal season from the New York Giants, which I don’t really see happening. I see improvement from last year.
PREDICTION: UNDER 4.5 (-120)
This is an interesting bet to place and a tough one at that. The reason is because the Washington Redskins have a total of five quarterbacks — four of them could be starters. With the Redskins having to choose from Dwayne Haskins, Case Keenum, Colt McCoy and Alex Smith to be their starting quarterback, it could be tough to bet on an OVER/UNDER for Haskins, especially after his historic 50-touchdown season with Ohio State University in 2018. For now, I’ll take the UNDER, just because the Redskins have too many options for my comfort. I’ll let you know in a future piece if I change my mind, and that certainly could happen as we get into training camp.
PREDICTION: UNDER 7.5 (-120)
Josh Allen would dominate in his senior season at the University of Kentucky with a total of 17.0 sacks, but with him tying the 7.0 threshold with 7.0 sacks total in his sophomore and junior seasons, and this in college, I don’t feel comfortable with betting on him hitting over that mark in the National Football League. Don’t get me wrong, I feel that Josh Allen will have a great career in the NFL, but here in his rookie year, it will be a work in progress. But I will say this in closing: If he does break the 7.0 threshold, I’ll give him kudos and I won’t be too surprised. As a defensive player, he’s in a nice system with the Jacksonville Jaguars, so the potential for him to meet the OVER bet is there. I’ll still take the UNDER though.
PREDICTION: UNDER 7 (-115)
I’d go ahead and take the UNDER on this bet. I understand that Kyler Murray is now in the National Football League and with the Arizona Cardinals, but Murray was quite efficient in his senior season at the University of Oklahoma. With a percentage of 69.0%, Murray would tally an incredible 42 touchdowns and would only throw seven interceptions in the process, this en route to winning the Heisman Trophy. I’m still not completely sure on how I see Kyler Murray doing in the NFL when things get started, but I think he has the potential to be a solid quarterback, definitely not one who throws 14 interceptions in his rookie season — take the UNDER.
PREDICTION: UNDER 14.5 (-115)
No question about it, go ahead and bet on the OVER in this wager. I see a pretty successful rookie season for Kyler Murray, and a successful career at that. In his senior season at the University of Oklahoma, Murray was absolutely dominant with his 4,361 yards with 42 touchdowns and just seven interceptions. Kyler Murray will get plenty of playing time, most likely starting from Week 1. Look for him to eclipse the 3,200-yard mark, and be a legitimate candidate to win the National Football League Rookie of the Year. This is one of the easiest bets on the list, in my opinion, take the OVER.
PREDICTION: OVER 3200 (-125)
I would go ahead and take the OVER on this bet too. Kyler Murray was absolutely explosive last season for the Sooners, rushing for 1,001 yards and he’d also punch in 12 touchdowns. Like I’ve already mentioned, I see Murray with a pretty successful rookie season, and as a result, I see him breaking over the 475 threshold in rushing yards for another OVER. I understand that Arizona’s offensive line isn’t the best, but I feel that Murray will be able to thrive in Kliff Kingsbury’s offense. Yeah, yeah… Definitely take the OVER again with Kyler.
PREDICTION: OVER 475 (-115)
This is yet another bet that involves Kyler Murray, and another bet that includes me taking the OVER. As I’ve already mentioned, Murray was absolutely explosive in his senior season at the University of Oklahoma en route to the Heisman Trophy — he would rack up 4,361 passing yards, 42 touchdowns, and seven interceptions. That 42 touchdowns as a Sooner more than doubled the required threshold, and with a system that could create a potent Kyler Murray, even as a rookie, I’m expecting Murray to rack up at least 20 touchdowns this season. Watch out for the potential Rookie of the Year, I’m telling you.
PREDICTION: OVER 19.5 (-115)
I have to agree with the odds-makers on Marquise Brown being the favorite in this bet, but don’t sleep on N’Keal Harry at +200 — ignore Deebo Samuel, he has no chance at winning this bet. Harry would have a fantastic season with Arizona State in 2018, calculating 1,088 yards and racking up nine touchdowns. With the New England Patriots and playing under Tom Brady (and Bill Belichick at that), Harry could put up some flashy numbers in the 2019 campaign. You have to ride with Brown as the favorite though, but not by much — he’d have a few more receiving yards at 1,138 and would also catch one more touchdown at 10. He should also see more playing time with the Baltimore Ravens, and should thrive under the John Harbaugh system. As far as Samuel is concerned, he’d tally 882 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns — and he plays for the lowly San Francisco 49ers at that. Take Marquise Brown, with a close eye on N’Keal Harry.
PREDICTION: Marquise Brown (+110)
This is a pretty fun bet to make based off of the brother vs. brother aspect, but are we seriously considering the fact that rookie Nick Bosa will get more sacks than his NFL veteran big brother Joey Bosa in the 2019 campaign? In the past season, big brother Joey would still rack up more sacks than his little bro, despite being in the National Football League — Joey would rack up 5.5, while Nick would tally 4.0. And that’s not all, just check out their numbers for the 2016 and 2017 campaigns: In the NFL, Joey would have 12.5 sacks in ’17, and then would have 10.5 sacks in his rookie year in 2016. At Ohio State, Nick would put up 8.5 sacks in the ’17 campaign, and then in 2016, he would calculate five sacks. This isn’t even a serious bet — take Joey Bosa easily at -300.
PREDICTION: Joey Bosa (-300)
PREDICTION: Kyler Murray (-300)
PREDICTION: UNDER 9 (-115)
PREDICTION: UNDER 6.5 (-115)
PREDICTION: UNDER 1.5 (-120)
PREDICTION: UNDER 10.5 (+100)
PREDICTION: YES (+1000)
PREDICTION: NO (-1200)
PREDICTION: NO (-300)
PREDICTION: NO (-800)
PREDICTION: YES (-200)
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