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What Is Political Betting?

We’ve all heard of sports betting, with some of the most popular being horse racing, soccer, football, basketball, baseball, hockey, among many, many other sports. But did you know that you can also bet on other realms outside of sports?

One of those, in particular, is politics. That’s right, you can actually bet on the realm that affects our life the most, and it’s global as well. From Brexit to Donald Trump’s hair, you can bet on a lot of different things when it comes to the political world.

Currently at the moment with all of the craziness going on over in Great Britain, the odds-makers actually have a Brexit Special section, where there’s a load of different bets to make — we will certainly go over those in a moment. But some of them include Nigel Farage Specials, what month Theresa May will be ousted as Prime Minister, and you can even bet on the food rationing involved with Brexit.

Another special that we’ll go over is a phenomenon that won’t die, well, at least for another year and a half, but I’m pretty positive this man will get another four years. I’m, of course, referring to President Donald J. Trump.

Since Trump hopped onto the campaign trail in summer 2016, Las Vegas and betting sites have always provided us with a countless amount of bets. Some have been serious, other have been, well, how can I put it, just outright hilarious. And after all, and don’t get me wrong, I think Trump has been a great president, but the man provides so much comedy — and how can you not like it even more with money involved?

But that’s not all. There’s plenty of betting to go all around in United States politics, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Spain, Australia, Netherlands, and more.

Let’s go over some examples and keep on mind you can check our top betting sites by country to take part on the action.

CURRENT POLITICAL BETS TO PLACE

BREXIT SPECIALS

UNITED KINGDOM TO LEAVE THE EUROPEAN UNION IN 2019? | ODDS: YES 1/2 – NO 6/4

Did you know that British people voted in favor of ‘Brexit’ months before Donald Trump became President of the United States? This vote, which 51.9% of British supported, took place on June 23, 2016. That means we’re now almost three years into the process, and well, Britain is still placed in the European Union. A bit ridiculous, but that’s how things have been playing out. You can currently place your bet if you think (or not) the UK will leave the EU in 2019. As far as me, I’m not seeing it. I see this process continuing to play out for much longer due to, well, politics.

WHAT MONTH WILL THERESA MAY CEASE TO BE PM? | FAVORITE: JULY 2019 AT 12/5

A little over a month ago, current United Kingdom prime minister Theresa May promised that if her Brexit deal passed, she would then step down from her position. That obviously didn’t happen, and now we’re in a position of being uncertain with not just Brexit, but also the PM and (alleged) leader in this entire situation — yeah, she hasn’t done a great job. That doesn’t mean I don’t think Theresa May will go down without a fight, however. The odds have July 2019 as the favorite at 12/5. I’d personally ride with 2020 or later if I was you — second favorite at 4/1.

NEXT PRIME MINISTER AFTER THERESA MAY | FAVORITE: BORIS JOHNSON (9/2)

After all of this intensity with Brexit, I don’t know why anybody would want the Prime Minister job to just pick up where Theresa May would leave off. But on the bright side for the next PM: Brexit should be done after May is out, so the next one in charge, their biggest responsibility will be to deal with the aftermath of the removal from the European Union. Right now, the odds-makers have Boris Johnson as the favorite at 9/2, and he is most likely to be the case as he has the most stature with the Conservatives. Michael Gove comes in second at 5/1.

TRUMP SPECIALS

WHAT YEAR WILL TRUMP CEASE TO BE POTUS? | FAVORITE: 2020 OR LATER (1/33)

Trump being impeached was never really a favorite among gamblers, and that showed even more drastically after it was proven that there was no collusion between then-candidate Donald Trump and the Russian government to rig the 2016 presidential election. Here’s how drastic the odds are now: 2020 or later is a whopping 1/33 favorite, and 2019 is an overwhelming underdog at 17/2. Here’s what I’m seeing for the future of President Trump: I’m seeing a landslide re-election victory in 2020, and then four more years of solid production. Place your bet on that.

TRUMP TO OPEN AREA 51 TO THE PUBLIC DURING HIS FIRST TERM | ODDS: 33/1

I’m sure I don’t have to say it, but this is such a fun (and interesting) bet to place. I can hear the conspiracy theorists now, and for good reason: Area 51 has been a hidden secret since its mining days back in 1864 in the southern part of the Groom Range. Since the government and military took over, the conspiracies have been countless ever since. Now that Trump is POTUS and not apart of the establishment, it has people curious of whether or not Trump will open Area 51 to the public and show if there is really aliens or not. Very risky bet to say the least.

TRUMP APPROVAL RATING DROPS BELOW 20% DURING FIRST TERM | ODDS: 2/1

I’m honestly shocked that this is a legitimate bet and the odds are so intense at 2/1, because Trump isn’t going below 20% ever — not even close. According to Rasmussen polling, Trump is currently at 49% approval rating. That’s a pretty high number in presidential terms. Here’s another number for you: 73% of Wall Street executives think Trump will be re-elected as President of the United States. Again, I’m shocked that this is a serious bet and people are placing their hard-earned money on this. Do yourself a favor and stay away from this bet.

UNITED STATES OF AMERICA POLITICS

WHO WILL WIN THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION IN 2020? | FAVORITE: TRUMP (6/5)

Right off of the bat, I’m going to tell you: Donald Trump is the overwhelming favorite to win the presidential election for 2020. That’s usually what happens when the economy is booming and unemployment is at record low numbers. But that doesn’t mean that the whole process won’t still be a show, because it will be — especially in the 2020 Democratic primaries. Here are the favorites to come out as top-dog when it’s time for the DNC: 1. Bernie Sanders (5/1) 2. Joe Biden (7/1) 3. Kamala Harris (7/1) 4. Pete Buttigieg (15/2) 5. Beto O’Rourke (14/1)

WHO WILL BE THE DEM FOR POTUS IN 2020? | FAVORITE: BERNIE SANDERS (13/5)

To carry the Democratic Party against President Trump and the Republican Party will be self-proclaimed ‘Democratic Socialist’ Bernie Sanders, this according to the odds-makers and the gambling community. Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are tied at second at 4/1, but after sexual allegations towards Biden (and more to come, I’m sure) and after Harris just recently said she would use executive action on gun control, both numbers for Biden and Harris may be dropping. After that, you have a distant Pete Buttigieg at 9/2. Take Bernie Sanders (for now).

WILL PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP BE IMPEACHED? | ODDS: NO (1/8) – YES (9/2)

This is another bet that I view as laughable, and so does the gambling community. That’s why ‘No’ is the overwhelming favorite at 1/8 odds, while ‘Yes’ comes in with lackluster 9/2 odds. Even though the House of Representatives have a Democratic majority, multiple leaders from the party have said that impeachment is off of the table, despite the ongoing frenzy in the media. And even if they did proceed, Trump would just take it to the Supreme Court and it would get overruled with the court having a Republican majority. Place your money on ‘No’ big time.

UNITED KINGDOM POLITICS

WHO’LL HAVE MOST SEATS IN NEXT ELECTION? | FAVORITE: CONSERVATIVES (EVS)

When the next general election arrives in the United Kingdom, odds-makers and gamblers have the Conservatives taking the most seats when it’s all said and done. Labour falls in second at 10/11, and here are some interesting odds for you: Nigel Farage’s Brexit Party at solid long-shot odds of 25/1. Yeah, it’s most likely that Farage and Co. won’t get the most seats, but they’ve been making strides and will pick up a good number in the election. With that being said, definitely take the Conservatives to win the most seats. Labour isn’t in a good state.

WHAT YEAR WILL THERESA MAY BE REPLACED? | FAVORITE: 2019 (1/5)

In this particular bet, there are two camps: Either you’re thinking Theresa May will be replaced as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2019, or you think it’ll take place in 2020 or later. Right now, most people think May will be out come 2019, but the odds aren’t too distant from one another. 2019 is at 1/5, while 2020 or later is at 3/1. I’m here to tell you this: As long as the process of Brexit continues, Theresa May will remain PM. I can’t see her stepping down until that happens. As far as when that will happen, I would certainly take 2020 or later at 3/1.

IRELAND POLITICS

WHO WILL BE THE NEXT TAOISEACH OF IRELAND? | FAVORITE: LEO VARADKAR (1/3)

If you don’t know what a Taoiseach is, it’s the title in Ireland for their leader. Others also refer to that position as the prime minister as well. The main system of Ireland is similar to most of the West where it will be a battle between two parties, but others are involved as well. The last Irish election took place in 2017, meaning their next one will happen in 2021. The main three to place bets on are: 1. Leo Varadkar from Fine Gael (1/3) 2. Michael Martin from Fianna Fail (5/2) 3. Mary Lou McDonald from Sinn Fein (16/1). With that being said, Varadkar should win again.

WHO WILL BE THE NEXT GOVERNMENT OF IRELAND? | FAVORITE: FINE GAEL (5/1)

As far as who the next government will be, the odds are currently in a three-way tie at 5/1 between Fine Gael/Sinn Fein, Fine Gael/Independents and Fine Gael Minority. Fine Gael/Fianna Fail doesn’t fall far behind with 7/1 odds. All we know for certain is that it will most likely be Leo Varadkar and Fine Gael calling the shots. But don’t count out Michael Martin and Fianna Fail. In the last election, Fine Gael would defeat Fianna Fail by just one point. To be exact, Fine Gael would only pull in 25.5% of the vote compared to 24.3% of Fianna Fail.

REST OF THE WORLD BETS

NORTH AND SOUTH KOREA TO REUNIFY AS A SINGLE SOVEREIGN STATE, AS RECOGNIZED BY THE UNITED NATIONS, BY THE END OF 2023 | ODDS: 2/1

I’m surprised, yet not surprised, at the 2/1 odds of this particular bet. I’m surprised because of the history between these two nations, especially with North Korea constantly threatening to bomb the living hell out of the South — and nevermind how the North treats their own people. But at the same time, I’m not surprised because the North Korean economy is struggling, and they would love to open themselves up to a prosperous economy. And on top of that, North Korea’s left-leaning government would be the type to forgive the North and join forces.

MOST SEATS AFTER ELECTION IN DENMARK | FAVORITE: SOCIAL DEMOCRATS (1/33)

In the Danish general election this year (in just a couple of months actually), it will be a three-way battle between the Social Democrats, Venstre and Danish People’s Party. In the last election, the Social Democrats would take 47 seats and 26.3% of the vote, while DPP would just finish five points behind at 21.1% with 37 seats to their tally. With Venstre, they wouldn’t finish far behind DPP with 34 seats and 19.5%. With this year’s election, things are a little bit different with Venstre projected to finish over DPP. Venstre is at 13/1, while DPP is at 20/1.

Andrew Powell

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