Categories: AllGolf

What to Look out For? The 2018 U.S. Open Golf Tournament Preview

The U.S. Open is the second of golf’s four major tournaments ( Majors ) and is held annually in the second week of June. It has been held in several venues, with the inaugural U.S. Open in 1895, won by Horace Rawlins, held at the Newport Country Club in Rhode Island. Last year, Erin Hills in Wisconsin, became the 52nd course used in the U.S. Open.

This year’s U.S. Open takes place from June 14-17, 2018 and it will be held at the Shinnecock Hills Golf Club in Shinnecock Hills, New York which is 93 miles east of New York City.

A New Look

Shinnecock Hills is the only golf club to host the U.S. Open in three different centuries. James Foulis was victorious in the 2nd U.S. Open with a three-stroke win over Horace Rawlins in 1896. In the 20th century, Raymond Floyd won in 1986 while Corey Pavin triumphed in 1995. Most recently, Retief Goosen outlasted Phil Mickelson to win his second U.S. Open in 2004.

Shinnecock Hills has undergone a facelift since the last U.S. Open was held here in 2004. The track has been sculpted and the layout has been stretched by 446 yards to 7,445 yards to accommodate the modern professionals. The longest extensions of 76 yards each came to the Par-4 14th hole ( 519 yards ) and the Par-5 16th ( 616 yards ).

From its newly renovated clubhouse, a view of sixteen holes is available since many trees have been removed as part of the project to restore the course to its original character. The fairways are now narrower and fairway bunkers have been added. With these changes, Shinnecock Hills is set to challenge the world’s top golfers so don’t expect a repeat of Brooks Koepka’s winning score of 16-under at Erin Hills last year.

Who Makes Up The Field?

Like any standard stroke-play golf tournament, the U.S. Open is played over 72 holes with the first two rounds adopting a two-tee start from the 1st and 10th tees. The golfers play in groups of three in the first two rounds and a cut is made after 36 holes. The top 60 scores and their ties make it to the weekend for rounds three and four. The last two rounds are played with players grouped in pairs.

Half of the 156 golfers who make up the U.S. Open field are exemptions. These exemptions include the past decade winners of the U.S. Open, winners of the other three Majors from the last five years, preview three winners of The Players Championships and the past year’s European Tour’s BMW PGA Winner.

The Top 60 in the official rankings and the Top 30 in the U.S. money list also get invites. The reward is also given to players who finished in the Top 10 of the previous U.S. Opens, the previous year’s Senior U.S. Open winner as well as some of the top amateur golfers in the world.

This Year’s Notable Participants

12 previous winners are participating in the 118th U.S. Open Championships. Led by 2017 winner Brooks Koepka, the field includes 1994 champion Ernie Els, 2003 conqueror Jim Furyk, 2009 victor Lucas Glover, 2010 titlist Graeme McDowell, 2011 conqueror Rory McIlroy, 2012 title holder Webb Simpson, 2013 top finisher Justin Rose, 2014 prize winner Martin Kraymer, 2015 first placer Jordan Spieth, 2016 topnotcher Dustin Johnson and three-time champ Tiger Woods.

As we said earlier, automatic qualifiers are given to U.S. Open winners from the previous ten years. But this year, the USGA gave special exemptions to former champions Ernie Els and Jim Furyk. Els and Furyk are only the 53rd and 54th golfers who received special exemptions to the U.S. Open. The last time the USGA handed out an exemption for the U.S. Open was in 2016 for 2004 winner Retief Goosen. Historically, only one player granted special exemption has gone on to win the tournament and that was Hale Irwin in 1990.

Jordan Spieth and Dustin Johnson are the favorites in this tournament at +900 and +1000, respectively. Both had disappointing finishes at the TPC Sawgrass but they have won this tournament before. Rory McIlroy at +1000 in Shinnecock Hills is going to be interesting.

After a historic performance at The 2018 Players Championships, Webb Simpson ( who won the U.S. Open in 2012 ) is one of the dark horses at +12500 ( as of May 16 at Bovada). Tiger Woods saw his odds drop to +1400 after he finished T-11 at The Players.
Others worth noting are Justin Rose at +2200 and Sergio Garcia at +2800. As for Koepka, you’ve got to love him at +4000.

Who has the best Odds To Win?

  • Jordan Spieth +900
  • Dustin Johnson +1000
  • Rory McIlroy +1000
  • Tiger Woods +1400
  • Rickie Fowler +1400
  • Justin Thomas +1600
  • Jason Day +1800
  • John Ram +1800
  • Hideki Matsuyama +2000
  • Justin Rose +2200
  • Sergio Garcia +2800
  • Patrick Reed +2800
  • Henrik Stenson +3300
  • Phil Mickelson +3300
  • Brooks Koepka +4000
  • Tommy Fleetwood +4000
  • Bubba Watson +4000
  • Branden Grace +4500
  • Adam Scott +5000

Interesting Facts

The U.S. Open is often won by a player in the prime of his golf career. Only Tiger Woods, Rory McIlroy and Jordan Spieth have won the U.S. Open at age 26 or younger. Likewise, Payne Stewart in 1999 is the last player to win the U.S. Open at the age of 40 or above.

Every U.S. Open winner in the 21st century had at least one previous Top 30 finish in the tournament. Last year’s winner Koepka was 13th in the previous year while 2016 winner Dustin Johnson was the second placer in 2015. Similarly, all 21st century U.S. Open winners had at least one Top 6 finish in the PGA or European Tour during the year they won the U.S. Open.

Prediction

Prior to missing last year’s cut, Dustin Johnson went T-4, runner-up, and winner in the previous three installments of the U.S. Open. Not only does he pass the criteria we noted above as interesting facts, he’s also had five Top 10 finishes in 9 events played this year. These include his win at the Sentry Tournament of Champions and runners-up finishes at the World Golf Championship-HSBC Champions and AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.

The only concern with Johnson is that he hasn’t won a Major since his first and only Major victory in the 2016 U.S. Open. But given his form this year, the PGA Tour’s number 2 ranked player is our bet. We’re picking Dustin Johnson to win the 2018 U.S. Open.

Blake Daniels

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